NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Air Force

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#331 Air Force

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Air Force’s résumé is built on a few wins over low-major opponents such as Alabama State, SIUE and IUPUI but it is haunted by ugly nonconference setbacks to Austin Peay, LIU Brooklyn and Miami Ohio and a road loss at Belmont that left a mark. The worst moments include heavy defeats that came against N Colorado and Pacific and they highlight a lack of quality victories away from home or on neutral floors. The Mountain West slate still gives the program clear paths to improve with winnable home dates against Fresno State, UNLV and San Jose State and a primetime home chance with New Mexico, but signature resume repair will require an upset or two on the road at places like San Diego State, Boise State or Colorado State. Until Air Force can grab a high-value road win and stop accumulating damaging losses, its profile looks like a team with modest wins and too many resume holes to be comfortable.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	@Belmont	85	L79-63
11/8	Austin Peay	180	L74-54
11/11	LIU Brooklyn	233	L76-72
11/15	Miami OH	135	L76-61
11/19	Alabama St	258	W66-64
11/21	SIUE	198	W77-63
11/23	IUPUI	338	W98-85
11/26	N Colorado	153	L71-53
11/29	(N)South Dakota	278	L80-63
12/3	Pacific	130	L80-65
12/7	@Navy	191	15%
12/17	@San Diego St	47	1%
12/30	Wyoming	107	14%
1/3	@UNLV	139	9%
1/6	Utah St	43	5%
1/10	New Mexico	110	15%
1/13	@San Jose St	186	15%
1/17	Nevada	100	13%
1/20	@Colorado St	67	2%
1/24	@Boise St	62	2%
1/31	Fresno St	160	27%
2/3	@Grand Canyon	103	5%
2/7	San Diego St	47	5%
2/10	Colorado St	67	7%
2/14	@Fresno St	160	12%
2/17	@New Mexico	110	5%
2/21	UNLV	139	21%
2/24	San Jose St	186	31%
2/28	@Wyoming	107	5%
3/3	Grand Canyon	103	14%
3/7	@Nevada	100	5%